News

New WRF simulations nested within the Max Planck Institute global model are used to quantify possible changes in annual electricity drought and the occurrence of production droughts in the current and current climate. Changes are generally negative, regionally specific, and are of smaller magnitude than historical trends due to technology innovation towards increased production.

Current approaches to estimating flood hazards often sample only a relatively small subset of the known unknowns, such as uncertainties surrounding model structures and parameters. Neglecting key uncertainties can underestimate the tails of flood hazard probability distributions, which can result in poor decisions and outcomes.

Scientists use climate models to ask what would happen if humans were to change from emitting carbon into the atmosphere to removing it. This study finds that global warming remains roughly proportional to total carbon emissions over time, even as these total carbon emissions start to decrease because of the carbon removals.